
Reuters reports India's sunflower oil imports are likely to fall as the Black Sea grain deal expires. Spot sunflower oil prices rose from $850 to $965 per tonne over five weeks on expectations of the deal lapsing and a rally in rival oils.
Lower Indian import demand would weigh on sunflower oil export prices, though the price rally driven by expected supply disruption and rival oil strength supports values in the short term.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.