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A columnist argues that the market tailwind behind yuan strength in 2021 may fade in 2022 as yield differentials narrow and the US tightens monetary policy. China's property sector problems, energy crunch and Covid cases are cited as ongoing drags.
A weaker yuan in 2022 would raise the dollar cost of Chinese grain and meal imports, which could slightly weigh on demand at current prices.
scmp.comNeal KimberleyNov 2, 2021After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
