USDA is issuing $1.8 billion in 2020 crop-year ARC and PLC payments to producers enrolled in those safety-net programs. Farmers can make elections and enroll for 2022 coverage through March 15, 2022.
Income support payments may keep acreage planted despite price swings, but the amount is modest relative to market size and has little immediate price effect.
After 1,623 past policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.