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Bank of America Global Research forecasts the Canadian dollar will reach 81.30 US cents by the first quarter of 2022 and 83.33 cents by the second. The loonie had fallen from the 80s to 77 cents amid Omicron fears and lower commodity prices.
BofA expects WTI to average $82 a barrel next year.
A forecast WTI rebound would support Canadian export income and the loonie. BofA's model links a 10% oil rise to roughly a 1% fall in USDCAD, which makes oil the key price driver.
financialpost.comPamela HeavenDec 16, 2021After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
