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Capital Economics forecasts the Canadian dollar could reach 84 US cents by end-2021, citing undervaluation at the pandemic's start and a narrowing of Canada-US bond yield spreads. Economists say oil will be the key driver, with US crude up nearly 22% in February on tight supply expectations.
This is an analyst forecast rather than a new supply or demand event. If oil stays strong and the loonie appreciates, Canadian-origin feed and meal become marginally more expensive in US dollars.
financialpost.comPamela HeavenFeb 26, 2021Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
