
ING expects the US dollar to stay strong in 2022 as the Federal Reserve tightens faster and the euro and yen weaken. It forecasts EUR/USD reaching 1.10 and USD/JPY possibly reaching 120 during the year.
The outlook also expects commodity currencies to firm on terms-of-trade gains.
A persistently strong dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices while raising import costs for emerging-market feed buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.