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Brazil will stop holding biodiesel auctions from January 2022 and move to direct-sales contracts. The CNPE kept the biodiesel blend at 10% for all of 2022 instead of rising to 14%, citing high soybean prices.
Platts reports that Brazil's FOB soybean oil basis is now lower than Argentina's.
Keeping the blend at 10% removes expected biodiesel demand for soybean oil, which is bearish for Brazilian soy oil and soybean prices. The change also weakens Brazil's soy oil basis against Argentina.
advancedbiofuelsusa.infoJan 4, 2022After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
