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The EU has moved toward restricting imports of soy, beef, palm oil, timber, cocoa and coffee unless they are produced without contributing to deforestation. The article cites WWF data that the EU is responsible for 16% of deforestation tied to internationally traded commodities and projects emissions cuts.
If adopted, the rules would require proof of deforestation-free supply for soy and palm oil entering Europe, a long-term bullish factor for compliant supplies and a bearish one for non-compliant origins.
etifor.cometifadminJan 27, 2022After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 102 past neutral policy events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.2%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
