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Indian fertiliser businesses are seeking alternative sources of muriate of potash and DAP from Jordan, Morocco and Canada after the Russia-Ukraine crisis threatened supplies from Russia and Belarus. Stocks are adequate until March, with April to September requirements the concern.
Manufacturers expect sanctions to complicate potash delivery and raise import prices from the current $600/tonne.
India's large potash import needs and the shift to new origins could lift global potash and DAP prices. Higher input costs may also flow through to phosphatic fertilizer output.
agrinews.inAneesh KarthiFeb 28, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
