
The Australian and New Zealand dollars held steady on Friday as the Russian invasion of Ukraine boosted prices for resources Australia exports. European gas rose 51% overnight, Asian LNG rose 28%, and Newcastle thermal coal rose 16%.
Miner dividend conversions had supported the Aussie earlier in the week.
Surging European and Asian gas and coal prices lift energy costs across feed and processing, while the invasion's energy spike feeds inflation concerns that affect central bank policy.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.