Malaysian palm oil futures held a tight range near 5,550 ringgit per tonne on Feb 3 while traders assessed Indonesia's new rule requiring producers to sell 20% of output domestically at fixed prices. The rule made palm the costliest of the three major edible oils, and FAO reported world food prices remained near 10-year highs.
Indonesia's domestic sales mandate clouds crude palm oil export supply, which keeps vegetable oil prices supported and raises costs for feed fat buyers.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.