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USDA's February WASDE projected global wheat stocks at a five-year low, with lower supplies and higher consumption for 2021-22. Cuts to South American crop estimates were smaller than expected, and markets closed higher overnight.
Tight global wheat stocks and smaller-than-expected South American cuts keep wheat and feed grain prices supported, though the report was seen as mildly bearish overall.
graincentral.comGrain CentralFeb 10, 2022After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
