
The renminbi is set to depreciate this year, ending two years of gains, as Covid-19 lockdowns and surging commodity prices raise doubts about China's 5.5% growth target. The PBOC made its biggest push to weaken the currency through fixings last week, and a global exodus from Chinese markets prompted policy support pledges.
A weaker yuan lowers the dollar cost of China's imports, which can dampen demand for feed-related commodities priced in dollars and supports Chinese exports, while signaling weaker domestic growth and feed demand.
After 398 past bullish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.