
The yen breached 120 per dollar for the first time in six years, extending a 4.5% fall in under three weeks. Oil prices jumped and Japan's trade deficit widened sharply on high energy costs linked to the war in Ukraine.
Higher energy prices widen Japan's trade deficit and push the yen lower, raising the yen cost of imported feed. The combined oil and FX move compounds input cost pressure for Japanese buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.