S&P Global's quarterly dry bulk outlook says Q1 Capesize earnings averaged far below Supramax and Panamax rates, and traders are hesitant to commit to Q2 freight due to volatile bunker prices, high commodity prices and geopolitical disruption. Freight spreads between ship sizes may reverse this quarter.
Volatile fuel costs and reduced commodity buying weigh on dry bulk freight demand, which feeds into ocean grain and oilseed shipping costs for feed importers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past neutral logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +3.8% over 5 sessions (73% higher; middle half -0.4% to +6.6%), and +6.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.