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Grain logistics remain strained, with trucking improving but rail hampered by labor shortages and weeks-long delays for Southwest hard red winter wheat. Ocean freight rates are above pre-COVID levels, port congestion persists, and China faces new COVID-related port shutdowns, while soaring fuel prices add cost pressure.
Rail delays in the HRW region and high fuel and freight costs tighten the delivery of US wheat to export positions, supporting HRW basis and transport-linked feed costs.
world-grain.comCrystal Futrell, Ron SterkApr 25, 2022After 22 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -1.2% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +3.9% over 20.
After 113 past bullish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -2.8% to +4.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
