S&P Global commentary says high grain and oilseed prices reflect tight supplies, input costs and geopolitics, with logistics in the US and Brazil adding to costs. USDA reports barge rates have skyrocketed and rail performance is hindered by weather and labor shortages.
Ocean freight and diesel prices have also risen due to Black Sea turmoil.
Higher domestic barge, rail and ocean freight raise the delivered cost of US and Brazilian corn, wheat and soybeans and support feed ingredient prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.