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A columnist argues that RBI reserve sales have replaced rupee volatility with volatility in reserves, and that the RBI's ability to hold the currency depends on crude prices staying elevated. Reserves are described as built largely from hot money flows rather than trade surpluses.
Opinion piece on currency defence; a prolonged high crude price would strain India's import bill and reserves, supporting weaker rupee expectations for feed importers.
thehindubusinessline.comAbhishek GoenkaMay 22, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
