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Barclays forecasts Brazil's real will strengthen about 10% to 4.55 per dollar by end-June, driven by rising interest rates and high commodity prices. The central bank was expected to raise its key rate by 100 basis points to 12.75%, with borrowing costs seen peaking at 13.25%.
A stronger real would make Brazilian soybean and corn exports more expensive in dollar terms, potentially lifting global prices for these feed grains and oilseeds, though it is only a bank forecast.
bloomberglinea.comAmelia PollardMay 3, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
