India's decision to ban wheat exports over the weekend is expected to pull more dry bulk ships toward the Americas, extending tonne-mile demand for panamaxes, supramaxes and handies. Wheat prices rose by the daily maximum on Monday after a severe heatwave hit Indian production.
G7 foreign ministers also urged Russia to free Ukrainian sea routes.
The India export ban removes a major supply source and lifts wheat and freight costs, pushing up grain-based feed prices and ocean freight rates.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.