
The USD/MXN jumped from below 20.00 to 20.50 on Monday as global markets fell and US Treasury yields rose to multi-year highs. Latin American currencies were the weakest performers, with the Chilean peso, Brazilian real and Colombian peso all falling more than 2%.
Sharp risk-off moves weakening Latin American currencies raise the cost of imported feed inputs for regional buyers and can pressure Brazilian and Argentine export pricing in dollar terms.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.