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A Reuters poll of 28 analysts forecasts the Brazilian real will strengthen about 3.2% to 5.24 per U.S. dollar over three months and 4% to 5.20 in a year, from 5.41. Eight of 13 strategists see risks skewed to the downside, citing planned pre-election social spending.
A firmer real makes Brazilian exports such as soybeans, corn and meal cheaper in dollar terms, which can ease export selling pressure. Fiscal risk and a possible reversal would support the dollar price of Brazilian commodities.
finance.yahoo.comGabriel BurinJul 7, 2022After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
