India's retail inflation remains above 7% in June, more rate hikes seen

After 43 past macro events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.3%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Jun 3, 2026India's inflation might move higher to 5% in FY27 led by food, energy prices: BoB report - The HinduBusinessLine-2.1%
• Aug 21, 2025Japan core inflation dips to lowest since March as rice prices cool-4.4%
• Jun 23, 2022Wild 2022 in grain markets sparks 2008 comparisons | Reuters+0.8%
• Jan 5, 2023Government sees inflation's peak as it misses target for second straight year | Philstar.com-0.2%
• Apr 8, 2021Weaker currencies push Indian, Thai rice export rates lower – Journalist Association of India (JAI)-0.0%

After 152 past macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.1%), and -0.7% over 20.

• Jun 3, 2026India's inflation might move higher to 5% in FY27 led by food, energy prices: BoB report - The HinduBusinessLine-1.1%
• Dec 16, 2016Dollar near 14-year highs after Fed tips more rate hikes-1.9%
• Apr 30, 2021Inflation-tolerant Fed will boost commodity prices | Reuters-5.5%
• Jun 28, 2022Argentina's economic crisis whack-a-mole goes into overdrive | Reuters-7.7%
• Jun 23, 2022Wild 2022 in grain markets sparks 2008 comparisons | Reuters+1.7%