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Urea prices rose by over $100 per tonne in early August as surging European gas prices raised manufacturing costs to about €1,500 per tonne, with buyers absent at $650. Analysts expect possible EU production curtailments, while potash prices are trending down on heavier supply, with CRU putting NW European MOP at €875 per tonne.
High European gas costs lift the floor under urea and nitrogen prices, while abundant potash supply keeps those prices under downward pressure.
farmersjournal.ieAnne FinneganAug 3, 2022After 92 past bullish macro events, Urea moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.6%), and +4.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 155 past bullish macro events, Natural Gas moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.0% to +7.1%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
