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Black Sea wheat offers dropped sharply last week as Ukrainian corridor flows increased, with Ukrainian 11.5% wheat offered at $355 per tonne CFR Vietnam or Indonesia. Russian wheat is pricing near $370, and record Russian production forecasts make Russian origin the cheapest option for Asian buyers, though buyers remain cautious.
Lower Black Sea wheat offers increase competition for Asian feed and milling demand and pressure global wheat prices, while high Black Sea freight limits how far delivered prices can fall.
ukragroconsult.comAug 26, 2022After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 82 past bearish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.8% to +1.9%), and +0.1% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
