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Euro-zone CPI inflation rose to 10% year-on-year in September, above the 9.7% forecast, driven by gas prices. Analysts expect a 75 basis point ECB hike on October 27, but say the euro is unlikely to benefit much.
Persistent inflation and rate hikes support the ECB's tightening path but leave the euro weak. Higher European energy and input costs weigh on regional feed and food demand.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.