
Cattle futures fell sharply over three days as interest rate hikes weighed on commodity markets. Cash cattle traded higher the prior week and boxed beef remains above pre-COVID norms, though prices have been pressured.
Macro-driven futures selloff is raising hedging and margin pressure for feedlots, which can soften near-term demand for feed grains and protein meals.
After 27 past bearish macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.4%), and 0.0% over 20.
After 37 past bearish macro events, Live Cattle moved a median -1.1% over 5 sessions (30% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.4%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.