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Abares forecasts Australia's 2022-23 wheat crop at 32.2 million tons, up 6.3% from its previous outlook but just below last year's record 36.3 million tons. The forecast reflects favorable weather during the growing season.
A large Australian wheat crop adds export supply that tends to pressure world wheat prices, supporting cheaper feed wheat options for buyers.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.