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USDA economists say drought is still delaying cattle placements into feedlots and increasing beef cow culling, a trend expected to continue into early 2023. The September feedlot inventory was 11.279 million head, the second-largest for the month on record.
USDA raised its Q4 2022 beef production forecast by 105 million pounds because of faster culling.
Heavier culling and larger projected beef output add supply, which pressures cattle prices. Drought also shifts placement timing, adding uncertainty to feeder cattle supplies.
agproud.comHannah Brooks, Russell KnightOct 31, 2022After 18 past bearish weather events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.9%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 21 past neutral weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +1.7% over 5 sessions (67% higher; middle half -0.1% to +2.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
