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Argentina announced a preferential exchange rate of 230 pesos per US dollar for soybeans and derivatives, effective November 28 through end-2022. The policy aims to encourage year-end exports and boost central bank reserves, and it could prompt Chinese buyers to extend demand for December and January shipments.
A favorable FX rate for soy sales should release farmer-held stocks, adding Argentine supply to the export market and pressuring soybean and meal prices, while potential Chinese buying offsets some of that.
fastmarkets.comEduardo TintiNov 29, 2022
spglobal.comNov 28, 2022After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 222 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.1% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
