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Markets priced in a 50bp ECB hike at the Thursday decision, so the euro's reaction was expected to depend on President Lagarde's commentary. The piece noted resilient eurozone activity after a warm winter, with natural gas prices back near pre-war levels, while business surveys showed stagnation and inflation remained elevated.
Lower European gas prices and steady ECB tightening shape the euro's direction against the dollar, which in turn affects dollar-denominated commodity prices and import costs.
actionforex.comXM.comJan 31, 2023After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
