
USDA's January WASDE made significant cuts to 2022 U.S. corn and soybean acreage and yield, reducing the estimated crop size. Prices for both commodities rose despite lower old-crop export expectations.
Reduced old-crop supply lifts prices, and attention now shifts to 2023 acreage and South American crops that will fill global gaps.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.