
Analysts expect OPEC+ to maintain oil output at its virtual February 1 meeting, partly to appease the United States. The article notes Saudi and Russian leaders discussed market stability and that global oil demand is estimated to hit a record in 2023.
Expected output stability alongside record projected demand supports firm crude prices and higher energy input costs.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.