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Genesis Fertilizers reports that Canpotex agreed a potash contract with China at US$307/mt CFR for shipments through December 2023, down from US$590/mt last year and below the US$422/mt India contract. North American urea and phosphate prices were mostly flat, with NOLA barge prices volatile across the week.
A sharply lower China potash benchmark signals weaker global potash pricing, which lowers input costs for feed producers' crop inputs and points to bearish fertilizer sentiment that could weigh on corn and soy input economics.
genesisfertilizers.comCaitlinJun 7, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 23 past neutral trade events, UREA moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.0%), and +2.8% over 20.
After 36 past neutral trade events, DAP moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.0% to +2.1%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
