
The euro weakened against the dollar after the ECB signalled it would make data-dependent decisions without forward guidance. Gold fell below $1,950 an ounce to a two-week low, and August futures were down 1.27% on the day.
The ECB had just raised its key rates.
A firmer dollar tends to pressure dollar-priced commodities, including precious metals and some agricultural products. The direct effect on feed grains and meals is limited.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.