
Rabobank expects a strong second half for the global poultry industry, with 2023 feed costs projected 10-15% below 2022 highs. Supply is tight in Europe, Mexico, Russia, the Philippines and Malaysia, while the US, Japan and Thailand are improving.
Rabobank flags a possible HPAI outbreak in Brazil's southern states as a key risk.
Lower grain and oilseed costs reduce feed expenses for poultry producers and signal softer feed demand, while a Brazilian bird flu outbreak could disrupt trade and lift chicken prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.