
USDA's July cattle inventory showed 95.9 million head of cattle and calves on US farms as of July 1, down 3% from a year earlier. Beef cows fell 3% to 29.4 million, and cattle on feed were down 2%.
Ranchers are not yet rebuilding herds after last year's drought.
A smaller herd and fewer cattle on feed tighten near-term beef supply, which supports live and feeder cattle prices. Herd rebuilding is slow, so the supply constraint may last.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.