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The National Economic and Development Authority projects that prolonged El Niño conditions could push domestic rice prices and agricultural production costs higher next year. Agencies are preparing irrigation and crop resilience measures in response.
Expected El Niño dryness in Asia could reduce rice output and lift Asian rice prices, supporting the rough rice complex.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.