
The Australian dollar tried to recover from a two-day losing streak after Australian monthly CPI rose to 5.2% from 4.9%, in line with expectations. The US dollar index traded near its highest since December, supported by high US Treasury yields.
The RBA minutes suggested further tightening could be needed if inflation proves persistent.
Higher Australian inflation and possible RBA tightening can support the currency, while a firm US dollar caps gains. Commodity price softness also limits the upside for the Aussie, which matters for export-linked feed prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.