
The Capesize average 5TC rose 46% week on week to USD 17,145, and Panamax rose to USD 15,361. Grain cargoes from East Coast South America and US Gulf were the main drivers, while Baltic/North China was valued at USD 48.00 per tonne.
Analysts expect strength through October, with weaker conditions likely in early 2024 without more coal demand.
A sharp rally in grain-driven Panamax rates raises the cost of shipping South American and US grain to Asia, supporting ocean freight and reinforcing export costs for feed grain buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.