
Dry bulk freight held relatively stable in late February, with Capesize Brazil to North China rates near the year's highs at just below $22 per tonne. Panamax Continent to Far East rates rose, while Supramax Indo rates stayed weak, and demand tonne-day growth continued to decline from late-2023 peaks.
Sustained strength on the Brazil-to-China capesize lane keeps ocean freight a cost component for Brazilian soy and feed exports to Asia, while slowing demand growth limits how much further rates can rise.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.