
USDA's Sept. 1 grain stocks report showed corn stocks at 1.361 billion bushels, below the trade estimate of 1.429 billion, while soybean stocks at 268 million bushels beat expectations of 242 million.
Wheat stocks of 1.780 billion bushels were slightly above the 1.772 billion expected, and markets fell after the release.
Tighter-than-expected corn stocks support feed grain prices, while larger soybean stocks and wheat supplies weigh on soybeans, soymeal and wheat values.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.