
Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati attributed the rupiah's slide past Rp 15,900 per dollar to the U.S. fiscal deficit, which reached $1.69 trillion as of September 2023. She said the deficit pushed U.S. Treasury yields toward 5%, drawing global capital into dollar assets.
The dollar index consequently strengthened against other currencies.
A stronger dollar driven by U.S. borrowing needs raises the local-currency cost of imported feed ingredients and can squeeze Asian feed margins. The macro backdrop points to continued pressure on dollar-denominated commodity demand from emerging markets.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.