
The rupiah slipped only slightly against the dollar on November 23 as the dollar rallied after Jerome Powell was reappointed as Fed chair. Markets priced in an earlier-than-expected Fed rate hike.
Non-deliverable forward rates showed a steeper path of rupiah weakness out to two years.
Expectations of earlier Fed tightening strengthen the dollar and tighten financing conditions for emerging markets, which tends to weigh on commodity prices and raise import costs for feed buyers in Indonesia.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.