
Bank Indonesia deputy governor Aida Budiman said rupiah pressure stems from portfolio outflows as the dollar strengthens after Fed hikes. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 3.7-3.9%, and portfolio net outflows from Indonesia reached $0.6 billion.
Foreign reserves stood at $132.2 billion at end-August.
Rising US yields pull capital out of emerging markets, and the resulting rupiah weakness raises import costs. Ample reserves limit how far the currency is likely to fall.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.