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CME December lean hog futures fell for a second day to a four-month low of 69.5 cents/lb after a USDA report showed pigs saved per litter up about 4.3% year over year, above analyst expectations. Hog futures had dropped nearly 8% since that report, while cattle futures gained modestly.
A bigger-than-expected supply estimate signals more pork ahead, which pressures lean hog prices and feeds into lower prices for feed grains demand from the hog sector.
grainews.caReuters, GFM Network NewsOct 2, 2023After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 78 past neutral report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
