COCERAL forecasts the grain harvest in the EU-27 + UK at 289.8 mln tons.

After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Sep 26, 2024Argentine exchange forecasts soybean harvest at 52 mln tons+1.0%
• Jun 12, 2023Coceral cuts EU grain harvest outlook on dry weather+1.1%
• Aug 30, 2021EU harvest adds to the global wheat dilemma - Grain Central+0.2%
• Aug 12, 2021Strategie Grains Lowers Forecast For EU Wheat, Barley Harvests | ESM Magazine+2.5%
• Jul 14, 2023Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll+3.5%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Jun 12, 2023Coceral cuts EU grain harvest outlook on dry weather+6.8%
• Jan 17, 2022Brazil’s Drought Reduces Grain Harvest Forecasts-0.5%
• Jul 14, 2023Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts again on weather toll-6.9%
• Mar 21, 2025Argentina Grains Exchange Cuts Soybean Forecast by a Million Tons-4.7%
• Jun 16, 2023Strategie Grains cuts EU cereal crop forecasts on weather woes+2.2%