
USD/MXN traded lower near 17.18 on Monday, extending recent losses as markets priced in a possible Federal Reserve rate cut in the first half of 2024. The US Dollar Index slipped to about 103.60 despite higher Treasury yields.
Attention turned to the FOMC minutes and Banxico's expected hold at 11.25%.
A weaker dollar against the peso makes Mexican feed imports cheaper in local currency, which can support Mexican demand for US corn and soymeal. Lower dollar strength generally supports dollar-denominated grain prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.