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The Mexican peso traded sideways near 19.00 per US dollar after a brief dollar rebound failed, with USD/MXN hitting a two-day high of 19.08 before pulling back. Markets were awaiting the Federal Reserve decision, where a more dovish tone was expected, and the Banxico meeting the following week, with the key rate at 8.25%.
A weaker dollar and firmer emerging-market currencies tend to support dollar-denominated feed commodity prices in import markets like Mexico, while a dovish Fed reduces pressure on EM funding costs. The impact on grain prices is modest given the low-volatility session.
octabroker.comJan 29, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
