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The dollar index edged lower after minutes from the Fed's January meeting came in largely as expected. Policymakers were concerned about the risks of cutting rates too soon, and markets pushed the expected first cut to June.
A softer dollar modestly supports dollar-priced commodities, but hawkish Fed signals limit the downside. Traders' rate expectations remain the main driver of currency moves.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.